Saturday 30 March 2019

A few more thoughts - BREXIT

What is the difference between "crashing out with no deal" and managing transition on trade to WTO terms. Think about it! Who and what is standing in the way of such an orderly exit. The EU's hands are not clean!
Write off an impartial media:
Preposterously pompous Adam Boulton on Sky News (every day - see how he is much softer on Remainers) (how is it elected representatives are labelled Leaver or Remainer when Journalists are not!)
Sally Bundock and Tim Wetherspoon BBC Business News Thursday 28th March constantly interrupting and seeking to prevent TW answering the questions she asked. Emily Maitlis on Newsnight the same day - same tactic.
Robert Peston interviews with Boris Johnson - RP virtually saying you are a "numpty" - in some respects true but it is poor Journalism.
Will Self - conflates what he calls ethnic nationalism with racism. He produces no evidence. He should read Eatwell and Goodwin for a much more reasoned and believable analysis rather than purvey his version of the world in such a superficial, supercilious, gesture ridden, sloganising way. But then he is only like many other commentators (they know who they are).
Probably the most important attributes of an independent, sovereign nation are:
a) its laws are made in that country and its Supreme Court determines outcomes according to domestic law;
b) it does not accept coercion or restraints in International Relations whether economic, political or heaven forbid military but operates on the basis of negotiated reciprocity;
c) its electorate and its representatives are genuinely inclusive - not as has been in the past preaching inclusivity whilst practising the opposite - see Tony Blair and most Conservative governments;
d) the electorate has to have confidence that it is being supported by its government and that government is not beholden to business and moneyed interests see Tony Blair and most Conservative governments.
Have a great weekend!


Friday 22 March 2019

More EU games

The House of Commons rejects by massive majorities on two occasions the proposed Withdrawal Agreement. Now in search of avoiding blame for negotiations breaking down it says extend the BREXIT date. However what has not been identified by our supine and remainiac media (there are honourable exceptions) is that the EU continues to insist that the Withdrawal Agreement negotiated with PM May must stand in any settlement. Whilst a europhile and Remain voter I am not so delusional as many politicians on both sides of the Channel appear that this only delays the inevitable! The Withdrawal Agreement should be rejected again because:
a) a common sense interpretation of the so-called backstop is that a foreign power may effectively annexe part of our Union;
b) moreover since that is the case (ask any Irish Republican what is an acceptable solution to the problem and look for an answer?). Puerility reigns when the only answer you get is "the UK created the problem so it is up to them to find a solution".
c) the so-called divorce settlement has not been subject to rigorous examination - it is a fine!
d) Sovereign Countries have a Supreme Court which does exactly what it says on the tin - anything else such as proposed in the Withdrawal Agreement cannot be acceptable to independent sovereign countries.
This is yet another charade where to EU seeks to distance itself from blame when negotiations break down. When they do breakdown, as in most negotiations, both sides bear responsibility. In the UK PM May will resign but Barnier is likely to be promoted. Says it all really as to what sort of organisation the EU is!

Friday 8 March 2019

Brexit – Will Parliament be both witless and spineless


As we reach the stage where decisions have to be taken rather than be avoided it is important to be clear.
1) Taking no deal off the table is a charade! We all know that there will be a deal what is not known is the exact content and when though; if Parliament and the EU have any sense it should be in a matter of weeks rather than months. (It really takes a massive leap of faith to believe this is any way helpful) (The PM’s incompetence has had the consequence of making Corbyn’s and Starmers’s policy believable - that shows how out of touch Parliament is)
2) Will delaying exit improve the relative position of either side to the negotiations and does this not mean more uncertainty for business. Without doubt delaying with no deal off the table gives much greater negotiating leverage to the EU. Whereas leaving with no deal puts the UK in a much stronger position! (and business can move ahead on that basis).
3) The EU is only interested in the UK having less economic freedom, continuing to receive £bn every year from the UK, enjoying unconditional security guarantees without payment and the UK being punished for the electorate exercising its democratic right!
4) If the Irish government was really interested in its country’s economic stability it would not have insisted on the so called “backstop” (in reality a full stop – grammarians will know the difference and it is significant!) gleefully grasped by the EU as another stick with which to beat the UK.
5) The EU has an almost fanatical attachment to the Single Market and its protection – this is is not politics nor business – its Theology – a very dangerous thing in negotiations.
6) If the “end game” is another referendum Parliament needs to think very carefully as to what it means for the future of our democracy (the elite says you got it wrong so have another go and get it right this time). Whether it would end the question – probably not. Would it unite or further divide the country – I think we know the answer to that!