Absurdities upon Absurdities

Having re-read the EU negotiating guidelines it is clear that without significant movement by both sides then a so called No Deal is close to being inevitable. It is also clear that the EU has not moved an inch (2.5 centimetres). However no matter what Remainiacs say the referendum result reflected conditions attached to it and what was said – leave Single Market and Customs Union, end jurisdiction of the ECJ and restore control of Borders. It really is the case of something has to give and if nothing does then No Deal results.

Now No Deal is a misnomer as even if we leave without a Deal discussions will continue as to arrangements that will apply. Moreover No Deal does not mean an end to all trade. There may be costs but the average EU tariff is 3% to 5%. So words such as catastrophe, disastrous are completely misplaced!

Perhaps the greatest absurdity is the border between the Irish Republic and Northern Ireland as a No Deal ensures the Republic (as the agent of the EU) will have to introduce Border Controls because the real reason is the protection of the Single Market. Remember to proceed on the basis of mistrust only results in that mistrust being reciprocated.

Then there is Parliamentary absurdity. Can you imagine the EU being kind to us because we have difficulties in the House of Commons – no it (Parliamentary control of Government business) will make it worse and achieve nothing! Even if Parliament does get control how will they progress it if the Government declines to seek an extension to the Article 50 process. Will a Cabal of members seek direct discussions with the EU when they cannot agree among themselves the way forward.

Taking No Deal off the table as any negotiator will tell means you end up as a supplicant which is what Remainiacs want as a precursor to overturning the referendum result.

What is not absurd is to move on!! At the very least this will give business more certainty.

Bring this farce to an end

The Prime Minister has advised the Queen to prorogue Parliament. The Queen has agreed. Some common sense points:
1) most of those wanting a deal with the EU in reality want to stop Brexit - no amount of verbal circumlocution can hide this!
2) If you bother to read the EU's original negotiating position this is the type of document which is presented to a country defeated in a war - read it and weep at the spineless wimps in charge of negotiations.
3) As you will gather I am not prepared to go to these people on my knees;
4) No deal is a misnomer as we all know there will be a deal or deals however it may not happen before we leave on 31st October.
5) As a minimum our Supreme Court must do what it says on the tin therefore it can never be subordinate in any respect to the ECJ. 

Brexit more Juvenile negotiating

Boris Johnson visits Berlin today and Angela Merkel challenges him to come up with a realistic "solution" to the Border problem in Ireland. Apparently he accepts this challenge to be done within 30 days. Does he not realise that anything less than a guarantee of Irish Unification in a short period of time will be vetoed by the Republic government on the spurious grounds of (what the EU really wants) not absolutely securing their Single Market and Customs Union which in itself is a Protectionist Trade Bloc. The Belfast Agreement is a very convenient document here and the EU forgets that consent works both ways. The proposition that any part of the UK remains in the Single Market and Customs Union is precisely the reason it can never be accepted. And if it is doubted that Germany is more concerned with its trading position than Ireland listen very carefully to what Angela Merkel said/says and even more so German business! Moreover a legally binding agreement with the EU cannot be acceptable on the grounds put forward as trust is absent - the Irish Constitution of 1937 is a repudiation of the 1922 Partition Treaty and therefore one has the right to ask how could we know that it would be honoured? Now for those in the UK this may seem a strange if not idiosyncratic position to take. But the facts speak for themselves it is the Remainiacs in the media who do not let these facts be broadcast.
And whilst I am having a blast - how come we are not getting all our money back from the EIB? - can we have a forensic audit (by NAO) of the financial claims being made by the EU - what is the EU going to pay for our intellectual property in relation to GPS which they (especially) the French say we can no longer use post Brexit?
In the adult world the Irish Border question would be dealt with:-
1st November no change in applicable regulations;
post November 2019 if either party i.e. UK or EU wishes to vary the applicable regulations then they are required to consult with the other party in timetabled discussions. Neither party shall have the right to veto the other's proposal!
This, of course, will not happen given that the agenda is not sensible negotiations but multifarious - making it as difficult as possible to leave, punishment and the UK must not be better off etc. etc.
So sadly its no deal and goodbye on 31st October. Notice the media does not report overwhelming support for leaving without a deal (ComRes August 2019). Surely its time for all Journalists to be challenged on which way they voted so that their claims of objectivity and impartiality can be properly assessed - don't hold your breath.

Media mis-representation continues

A short note here to exemplify the bias in our media against any form of Brexit. This morning that preposterous and pompous Adam Boulton had a so called "expert" to talk about a new Conservative Leader and Brexit options. This person was one Stephanie Rickard of LSE. She has written papers on International Trade. She actually said (inter alia) the UK was in weak negotiating position being in the Euro Zone. This was another example of the wish being father to the thought. Indeed every point that the said Adam Boulton made was countered by SR asserting the UK was in a weak position. We are, of course, not in the Euro Zone. Moreover no evidence was produced or adduced to support the assertions made of our alleged weakness. The groupthink in the metropolitan is astounding. This is only one example. Again I would remind you I voted to remain but I am a Democrat unlike many of the (in their minds) elite.

A World of Nonsense

Brexit is so difficult – from a CEO of a multi-Billion £ company (and many others in the same category) and his pay exceeds £5m pa. For that sort of money I would have thought that with such talent he (it is usually he) could have solved Fermat's Last Theorem before breakfast!

A time limited back stop is not a back stop( back stop numerous politicians). Terminological inexactitude – a non time limiting back stop is a full stop! Much beloved of politicians and so called experts whose inexactitudes cloak deliberate deception.

Why don’t you go back to the countries where you came from (Trump) – but I am not racist. However I am prepared to play the race card to secure my base support – probably worse than being an out right racist.

Identity Politics is fashionable but it is part of political discourse it is neither an end in itself nor progressive when it seeks to act exclusively – "only such an identity can act and judge itself" – an Exclusive Brethren determined by by race or colour or religion etc (the writer speaking).

The best defender of religious freedom is a liberal, democratic tolerant society – that is what should be built. The sins of the fathers should not be visited on their sons – victim hood and revenge are no basis for progress of any kind (the writer speaking).

Enough now listen to Radio 3 – Beethoven, Ades and Nielsen.

Brexit Political Journalists and professional Politicians are Drongos

As every day goes by the Journalists and professional politicians in the UK continue to insult the electorate’s intelligence!

Another referendum would not heal a divided country it would entrench division. Moreover any close result would not settle the matter – a decisive result – say 2/3 to 1/3 is not a realistic proposition. A close result would not end the dispute. Hence “Final Say” is a sham, a delusion, a cheat! A referendum with Remain on the ballot paper would confirm the professional politicians insulting view that the people got it wrong first time round so have another go and come up with the right answer! (see "You can never underestimate the stupidity of the of the general public." Scott Adams, American Cartoonist, b.1957).

The quality of debate is abysmal! Setting a firm date at this time to leave is childish. What is grown up is detailing how the UK leaves! The EU is equally juvenile. Saying that the Withdrawal Agreement – rejected three times by the UK Parliament - is not up for negotiation is understandable but surely they must know that that only enhances the possibility of no deal - which we know Germany does not want – although the self obsessed Macron with his delusions of grandeur might mis-step that one.

A sensible UK approach to honestly and genuinely (not too many in Parliament and among the media are doing that which just goes to show how democratic they are!) honouring the result of the Brexit referendum would be for the UK to take control of the timetable and agenda. Challenging the EU to eject us. So say to them we do have a date of 31^st October – are you prepared to re-open the negotiations on the Withdrawal Agreement and have genuine and honest discussions with a view to agreement addressing the concerns the UK has. A prompt reply is required despite your holidays. If you prevaricate we will take that as a no! We do not want any more weasel words about EU legal difficulties in relation to Data Protection as to security for example. We expect reciprocity!

We will fulfil are legal obligations as to a financial settlement provided the EU does the same for example in the case of software provision for GPS. Additionally we would require a detailed audit of any claim in relation to the financial settlement to be independently audited and made public! If genuine and honest negotiations are to take place then this could take several months so let us make start and see how things proceed. Since most of the detail is known the UK would review progress at the end of February 2020. If we cannot see sufficient and/or meaningful progress we leave!

As you can see I never go into negotiations as a supplicant – it is all a matter of backbone and intellectual capability. Even as a Remain voter I am not prepared to sell my country down the river.

Goodbye Theresa - Hello ??

This really is an abysmal time in British (English) politics. Shallow self serving grand standing professional politicians and Journalists. Saw Philip Hammond on the Andrew Marr show today and his demeanour was one of defeat. His cover
of seeking to thwart Brexit now gone as May is leaving!  My main concern however is the complete lack of real incisive questioning and thinking! With this damn Brexit thing it is where we go from here not what you said in 2006 etc etc.
Of course shallow and self serving is not confined to Britain - it is rife in many parts of the EU. For example the so called Backstop. Of course the Republic wants a united Ireland, however the worst possible outcome is no deal especially as the UK is not going to erect a border but the EU probably will! Also misunderstanding of what international law says - fly over space is governed by international law and UN conventions not EU law. The question therefore is how long could the Republic in this case, France in the case of perishable products also Belgium, Holland and Denmark and Cars from Germany, Spain and Czech Republic last out without a deal. The UK also has to seriously consider this aspect but we have a history of being bloody minded. There will be a deal whether it will be before we actually leave or sometime after is a moot point. On the UK side it is clear that a revised deal cannot be done before 31st October and if both sides genuinely want a deal it will take us past that date. So stop posturing and grow up! Else hauter/arrogance and complacency will see us all lose.